Business confidence drops to 14-month low

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A surprise drop in new orders in the manufacturing, retail and construction sectors has dragged Australia’s business confidence to its lowest level in over a year.

National Australia Bank’s business confidence index, a widely watched gauge on the corporate sector’s sentiment, dropped to 2 points in July from 4 in June – the lowest level since June 2009.

Forward orders dropped 14 index points in July to -8, the lowest level since May 2009. Softer orders were reported in the areas of manufacturing, retail and construction sectors all but erasing companies’ relief at the scrapping of former prime minister Kevin Rudd’s Resource Super Profits Tax.

“While the expected boost to mining, post the mining tax agreement, eventuated, it was more than offset by declining confidence in manufacturing, retail and construction,” NAB chief economist Alan Oster said.

“The fall in new orders is probably the most unsettling feature of the July Survey results.”

The dollar dropped on the release of the data, falling to 91.28 US cents from about 91.4 US cents.

Despite Australia’s strong labour market and continued strength in iron ore and coal exports to China, the domestic economy has shown signs of flagging in recent weeks. In June

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The Great Wall of China

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A FORTNIGHT ago, as Macquarie Group leapt to the top of the Chinese big league by underwriting one of the largest floats in corporate history, its Shanghai boss, Daniel Phillips, ran headlong into a Chinese wall.

The ”millionaires factory” had patiently and strategically built a large and capable China team. Macquarie had taken care to provide lucrative jobs to eminent people and their associates to open doors. It had gone from nowhere to lead the IPO tables in the world’s biggest market, Hong Kong, for 2½ years straight – crowned now by its appointment as joint underwriter for the last of China’s megabank listings, the Agricultural Bank of China. And, together with Melbourne company SEEK, it had poured

$US110 million ($A120 million) into a Chinese online recruitment agency whose website receives more unique visitors each month than the number of people living in Australia.

And yet, according to Chinese media reports, on the morning of July 23 Phillips and a SEEK director arrived for boardroom duties at the Beijing headquarters of their recruitment company, Zhilian Zhaopin, to find their CEO had locked them out.

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ACCC blasts rumours

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GRAEME Samuel, head of the nation’s competition regulator, has launched a stinging attack on ”unprecedented, inappropriate and unacceptable” rumours about the commission’s talks with National Australia Bank over the bank’s proposed $13.3 billion bid for wealth manager AXA Asia Pacific.

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission chairman revealed that hedge funds had called him directly, but refused to take the calls.

Mr Samuel said AXA AP’s decision to halt trading in its shares yesterday showed how serious speculation in the media and investment markets, apparently based on ”backgroundings, innuendo and speculation”, had become.

”This is leading to an uninformed market,” he said. Hedge funds appeared to have been trading AXA AP shares before the insurance and funds management group asked for a trading halt yesterday, Mr Samuel said, adding that he had received calls direct to his mobile number from hedge funds and large investors, but had ”just deleted them”.

In a series of developments engulfing the high-stakes bid:

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TotalBank reports loss of $1.8 million

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TotalBank on Friday reported a second quarter net loss of $1.8 million, compared to a first quarter loss of $15.7 million and a loss of $136,000 in the second quarter of 2009. The Miami-based bank said its focus for the first half of this year has been boosting asset quality and fortifying capital, accomplished through a $50 million capital infusion in the first quarter and a $95 million reduction in nonperforming loans during the first half of the year.

TotalBank has nearly $2 billion in assets and 14 branches in Miami-Dade. Its parent company is Grupo Banco Popular Español, which has $185 billion in assets and 2,500 branches.

Durable goods orders fall 1 percent in June

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WASHINGTON — Orders to U.S. factories for big-ticket manufactured goods fell broadly in June as the fragile recovery continued to slow.

The Commerce Department says demand for durable goods dropped 1 percent in June. It is the second straight monthly decline and the largest drop since August 2009.

Orders for commercial aircraft were down by more than a quarter. Without the volatile transportation sector, orders fell by 0.6 percent.

The decline hit most major industries, including machinery, primary metals and electronics. Motor vehicles, electrical equipment and appliances were among the few bright spots.

Consumers and businesses are reining in spending as the economy sputters. High unemployment and Europe’s economic instability weighed on them in June.

Stocks try to bounce back; futures rise

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NEW YORK — Stocks are set to bounce back modestly after a brutal close to the previous week. Futures are higher.

Investors are ready to buy up stocks after the Dow Jones industrial average plummeted 261 points Friday. Stocks tumbled as traders became concerned that future revenue at big banks like Citigroup and Bank of America could be hurt by new financial regulations and ongoing volatility in the market.

Earnings and corporate outlooks will likely be the primary driver of trading throughout the week again with only a few economic reports due out.

Dow Jones industrial average futures are up 49, or 0.5 percent 10,108. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures are up 5.90, or 0.6 percent, at 1,069.00, while Nasdaq 100 index futures are up 7.75, or 0.4 percent, at 1,809.75.